Don’t let the White Sox’s lackluster second half fool you, plus other best bets for Wednesday

Why do all the big news come out when I’m busy? On Monday I wrote a column about how there was no point in saying that the USC should fire Clay Helton because he had already been fired… The only question is when it will happen. Soon after it was published, I sat down to record the Cover 3 podcast with my co-hosts, and on the show we talked about how Helton would eventually get fired.

Then, after the show, I took off my headphones, looked at my watch and thought that evening was a great time to work out. I mean, what news was supposed to come out late Monday night?

An hour later, when I finish my workout, I see about 100 Clay Helton firing notices on my phone. Of course, right after I spent hours writing and talking about this, and just after this newsletter was sent to your inbox, USC announced an impending decision that we all knew about.

Who knows what will happen today when I ride my bike and this newsletter is sent to your inbox? Anything is possible if I step away from the computer for a while. But getting away from your computer is the last thing you should do. Instead, read these stories and then join me to place baseball bets.

Turns out MLB the season is still going on, so we can bet on it.

All times are Eastern and all odds are via Caesars


🔥 Hot Ticket

Angels v White socks, 20:10 | TV: MLB.TV
Pick: White Sox -1.5 (-125)
The White Sox were mediocre in the second half of the season, showing 29-26 since the break, but there is no context in the record. The White Sox accidentally reside in Central Alberta, which is a division that has the Sox and four bad teams. Seriously, Cleveland is in second place, 12.5 games behind Chicago with a 70-73 record.

Because of their ability to reach the finish line and still win a division, the White Sox have been liberal in their use of IL. I’m not saying that the players they put on the injured list were not hurt, but if the Sox were in a tense race, they might ask some of the players to go through pain and pain. These injuries had a significant impact on the game.

Well, the Sox are healthier now than they’ve ever been. Both Lance Lynn and Lucas Jolito reunited with the rotation last week, and the attacker finally has a roster reminiscent of what was supposed to be the team’s top nine. The squad came on Tuesday night with the Sox running nine runs. Pakki Naughton and the Angels, and he’ll be back tonight against the ill-named Janson Junk.

Junk has a limited MLB sample, but he was a guy who doesn’t have many strikeouts and walks too much in minors, so I’m not optimistic about how he will play against the White Sox tonight. Of course, there are some concerns that the Sox Dallas Keuchel kicks off, but they have a new bullpen behind them, so I expect Chicago to cruise tonight.

Key trend: 68 of Chicago’s 83 wins so far come from two or more attempts.

Here’s what SportsLine has to say about the game: An advanced computer model doesn’t like anything about this game, but his favorite game overall


💰 Choice

⚾ MLB

Indians v Twins, 19:40 | TV: MLB.TV
Choice: Indians (-105) –
Okay, I just told you about how AL Central stinks and I mentioned Cleveland in particular … but don’t let that stop you from betting on the Indians tonight! While Cleveland may not be good, he is still better than the Twins, who find themselves at the bottom of the division.

Tonight in particular, I want to fade Minnesota starter Griffin Jax… Jax has an ERA of 6.72 over 64.1 innings this season, with a strikeout rate far below average and walking speed faster than you’d like. He also seems to be allergic to ground balls and soft-hitting balls. I’m happy to bet against him and that awful bullpen that supports him.

Key trendMinnesota has been 2-6 in its last eight home games.

Padres v Giants, 21:45 | TV: MLB.TV
Choice: Less than 8.5 (-115) –
It is well known that I love playing night games in Oakland and San Francisco and this game suits my taste very much. I’m worried about a starter from San Francisco Dominic Leone because of his 11.1% walking speed (and his 1.41 ERA is highly misleading), but there is a lot to love about him even if the results haven’t appeared yet. He does a great job of moving into the center of the cymbal and limiting hard contact, which plays well in San Francisco.

On the other side, Joe Musgrove was one of the few moves the Padres made this offseason, and it turned out to be good. He has an ERA of 2.93, a high K and a low walk. He was phenomenal and would keep the giants’ attack under control while praying that his team could support him. Given that the Padres have been gaining .201 / .276 / .317 as a team over the past two weeks, I’m not sure if they will. However, while I love beating giants, I love the bottom.

Key trend: Minus 8: 3 in San Francisco’s last 11 home games.

🔒 SportsLine Pick of the day: Loves one MLB Advanced Computer Model loser tonight and you can find out who it is here


⛳ Top 10 Fortinet Championship

We’re betting that each of these golfers will finish in the top ten this weekend.

  • Charlie Hoffman (+400)
  • Talor Gooch (+550)
  • Pat Perez (+650)
  • Lanto Griffin (+750)
  • Bo Hoag (+1200)


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